By: Douglas J Utberg

In the midst of the constant headlines concerning government ‘bailout’ initiatives that have resulted from a credit crisis in the financial sector, one must stop to wonder whether the government is acting responsibly and what the likely results of these actions will be.  My general belief is that public agencies making market decisions will tend to make them based on political expediency instead of market effectiveness.  Unfortunately, the current bailout program seems to be no exception.

In a free market, companies that make critical errors would be re-structured in bankruptcy, or liquidated and sold off to new investors.  Unfortunately, the US government is choosing to drastically increase the amount of currency in circulation as a means to finance the ‘bailout’ initiatives to keep the failing companies afloat and stem the impact of a sharp reduction in credit availability.  (This process is also known as ‘printing money’)  This drastic increase in circulating dollars will eventually produce significant inflation.  This is caused by increasing the amount of currency in circulation, but keeping the amount of national output the same . . . more money chasing fewer goods MUST result in increased prices.

When inflation occurs, it de-values savings, home equity, and fixed-rate investments like CD’s and Bonds because those instruments tend to increase in value very slowly, and the purchasing power of the dollars they are denominated in consistently erodes.  Conversely, inflation rewards people who have taken out a large amount of fixed-rate debt by de-valuing the principal & interest payments.  Effectively, inflation punishes responsible behaviors like saving and paying down your mortgage while rewarding irresponsible behaviors like taking on large amounts of debt.

Fortunately, there is a way that regular people can profit from future inflation.  The prime strategy for beating inflation involves using long-term debt leverage to purchase investment assets that produce income and appreciation.  The most common way to do this is through rental real estate investments.  The way this works is that you purchase a rental property with a fixed-rate loan and lease it out to tenants.  When the inflation starts to hit, it will push up the home value & rents because the increased amount of dollars in circulation will be chasing after the same number of houses & rental units.  Since your investment is financed at a fixed interest rate, your expenses will stay relatively flat while your income inflates.